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Tuesday, October 20, 2026

Novo Get together Asks Courtroom to Take away Lula Ticket


Wide view of the Superior Electoral Court building in Brasília, a long curved glass facade with white domes and parked buses in front
The TSE constructing seen from one other angle. File photograph, 2012. (Photograph: Josue Marinho, CC BY 3.0, through Wikimedia Commons)

BRAZIL · ELECTIONS

Revealed Tuesday, 20 October, 1:45 p.m. ET · Supply: Poder360, Metrópoles, Correio Braziliense

Key Information

The Novo celebration has requested the electoral court docket, in an motion reported on Tuesday 20 October, to take away President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Vice President Geraldo Alckmin from the Brazil election 2026 race. Novo, a pro-market celebration, says the federal government issued 35 profit measures in 2026 that tilted the competition.

Brazil Election Knowledge Room

Runoff ballot common: Flávio Bolsonaro 51.1%, Lula 48.9%

26 nationwide polls from 14 pollsters since 4 October, up to date hourly. Each ballot, free to obtain.

The request goes to the Superior Electoral Courtroom (TSE), Brazil’s high elections court docket, 5 days earlier than the runoff towards Flávio Bolsonaro, senator for Rio de Janeiro. It targets the ticket of the sitting authorities, so traders and US observers will watch how the court docket responds.

What Novo Is Asking the Courtroom to Do

Novo’s nationwide management desires the TSE to seek out abuse of political energy, cancel the diplomas of the Lula-Alckmin ticket and declare each ineligible for eight years, Poder360 reported. It additionally asks the court docket to demand paperwork from the Finance Ministry, the presidential chief of workers’s workplace, the Nationwide Treasury and the Social Growth Ministry.

The celebration says the paperwork would show the associated fee and timing of every measure. Novo additionally took the fiscal aspect of the criticism to the federal audit court docket (TCU), Metrópoles and Contraponto MS, citing Correio Braziliense reported.

Senators at their desks in the blue plenary chamber of Brazil’s Federal Senate in Brasília
Senators within the plenary of Brazil’s Federal Senate in Brasília. File photograph. (Photograph: Senado Federal – TV Senado, CC BY-SA 4.0, through Wikimedia Commons)

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The 35 Measures Behind the Criticism

Novo counts 35 decrees and provisional measures creating or increasing advantages between January and 16 October 2026. That compares with 17 in 2023, 4 in 2024 and 14 in 2025, which add as much as the identical 35, based on Poder360.

The submitting argues that 12 of the 35 had been issued throughout the marketing campaign interval, with deadlines, bulletins or funds set across the first and second rounds. Amongst these cited are a 15.04% rise within the Bolsa Família cash-transfer programme, wider gas subsidies and the Desenrola 3.0 debt-relief programme, Contraponto MS reported.

The listing additionally consists of the ban on on-line betting and the tip of the so-called “blusinhas” tax on overseas on-line purchases of as much as US$50. These are the federal government’s measures as Novo describes them; the court docket has not assessed them.

The place the Runoff Stands

The final Datafolha ballot, printed on 15 October, put Flávio Bolsonaro at 51% and Lula at 49% of legitimate votes, a technical tie. Our Brazil election polls tracker lists each runoff survey, and our earlier report exhibits the Datafolha numbers intimately.

This isn’t Novo’s first such request. In August, Novo filed a separate request over a Carnival parade honouring Lula, and we couldn’t affirm its consequence.

What It Means for US Readers

For traders in Brazilian shares, bonds or US-listed Brazilian shares, the submitting provides a authorized headline to a race that polls name shut. The court docket has not signalled when it’s going to act, and the vote itself is 5 days away.

For anybody following US-Brazil relations, the winner of 25 October will set the tone with Washington on commerce and sanctions for 4 years. A criticism on the electoral court docket is a request, not a discovering.

What Prediction Markets Say

On Polymarket, a web-based prediction market, merchants give Flávio Bolsonaro a 77.0% likelihood of successful the 25 October runoff and Lula 22.5% (20 October, 1:30 p.m. ET). The “Brazil Presidential Election” market has about US$189.0 million in complete buying and selling.

Why we present this: prediction markets flip real-money bets right into a reside chance that strikes inside minutes of the information, which is why traders, campaigns and newsrooms in america now observe them carefully. We present them subsequent to polls and official outcomes, by no means as an alternative of them.

Prediction markets · who wins the runoff

Implied likelihood of successful Brazil’s presidency on 25 October, from merchants’ costs.

Polymarket

Flávio Bolsonaro 77% · Lula 22.5% (US$189 million traded)

Kalshi (regulated within the US by the CFTC)

Flávio Bolsonaro 79% · Lula 21%

As of 20 October, 1:20 pm ET (18:20 Lisbon), up to date each 20 minutes. Costs are bets, not polls, and might transfer quick.

Why we present this: prediction markets flip real-money bets right into a reside chance that strikes inside minutes of the information, which is why traders, campaigns and newsrooms in america now observe them carefully. We present them subsequent to polls and official outcomes, by no means as an alternative of them.

What Is Not Identified

It isn’t recognized when the TSE will rule or whether or not a choose shall be assigned earlier than 25 October. The Lula marketing campaign had not commented when Poder360 printed, and we’ve got not seen the federal government’s defence.

The court docket has not but assessed whether or not any of the 35 measures broke electoral legislation. Novo’s figures are the celebration’s personal depend.

Regularly Requested Questions

What did the Novo celebration ask the electoral court docket to do?

It requested the Superior Electoral Courtroom (TSE) to cancel the Lula-Alckmin ticket and declare each ineligible for eight years. The motion was reported on Tuesday 20 October.

Why does Novo need Lula and Alckmin eliminated?

It says the federal government issued 35 profit measures in 2026 and that 12 got here throughout the marketing campaign interval, tilting the race. The celebration calls this abuse of political energy.

Does this modification the 25 October runoff?

No ruling is thought, and the runoff between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro remains to be scheduled for Sunday 25 October. A criticism is a request that the court docket should nonetheless choose.

Who leads Brazil’s newest runoff ballot?

Datafolha’s ballot of 15 October had Flávio Bolsonaro at 51% and Lula at 49% of legitimate votes, a technical tie.

Which measures does Novo cite?

They embrace a 15.04% rise in Bolsa Família, wider gas subsidies, the Desenrola 3.0 debt-relief programme, the web betting ban and the tip of the “blusinhas” tax. These are Novo’s claims.

Sources: Poder360, 20 October 2026; Metrópoles, 20 October 2026; Contraponto MS (Correio Braziliense), 20 October 2026.

This text was produced by The Rio Occasions’ automated newsroom system. How we use AI · Report an error · Editorial accountability: Matthias Camenzind, Editor-in-Chief

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