LatAm and Africa Soccer Odds, Weekend of 24 Oct

Prediction Markets: Soccer

Prediction markets give Palmeiras a 66.5% likelihood of profitable the Copa Libertadores, South America’s Champions League, after each semi-finals went to penalties. Palmeiras meet Estudiantes de La Plata within the remaining on Saturday 28 November.

For readers in america, this weekend is about league races relatively than single matches. Mexico’s Liga MX performs spherical 14, and Brazil’s Série A performs spherical 32, with Flamengo off till Monday.

No single-match market reached our US$10,000 threshold this week. We subsequently present the season markets, with their change since our 14 October snapshot, and the fixtures that bear most on them.

What Prediction Markets Say

Costs are bets by merchants, not forecasts by The Rio Occasions. Polymarket counts quantity in US {dollars}, whereas Kalshi counts contracts price as much as US$1 every.

Lots of the markets beneath have solely tens of 1000’s of {dollars} traded. A single massive guess can subsequently transfer a worth.

Why we present this: prediction markets flip real-money bets right into a stay likelihood that strikes inside minutes of the information, which is why traders, campaigns and newsrooms in america now observe them carefully. We present them subsequent to polls and official outcomes, by no means as an alternative of them.

This Weekend’s Matches

Mexican kick-offs beneath are Mexico Metropolis time, which is 2 hours behind New York till the US clocks change on 1 November. Brazilian kick-offs are Brasília time, one hour forward of New York.

Liga MX Apertura, Spherical 14

León host Toluca on Saturday 24 October at 5:00 pm (7:00 pm ET) on the Estadio Nou Camp. Toluca have 22 factors and León have 21.

Monterrey host Guadalajara (Chivas) on Saturday at 7:00 pm (9:00 pm ET) on the Estadio BBVA. Chivas have 23 factors in second place, and Monterrey have 20 in seventh after beating Puebla 4–1.

Pumas host Tigres on Saturday at 9:00 pm (11:00 pm ET) on the Estadio Olímpico Universitario. On Sunday 25 October, América face Pachuca and Querétaro host Cruz Azul.

Brazil Série A, Spherical 32

Palmeiras host Bragantino on Saturday 24 October at 6:30 pm in Brasília (5:30 pm ET). The sport is on the Area Barueri exterior São Paulo, as a result of the membership’s personal Nubank Parque is being ready for Iron Maiden concert events.

Flamengo, who’re on 67 factors to Palmeiras’ 66, don’t play till Monday 26 October. They host Atlético-MG on the Maracanã at 8:00 pm in Brasília (7:00 pm ET), based on Máquina do Esporte.

Additional down, Vasco host Corinthians on Saturday at 6:30 pm in Brasília, and Chapecoense face Fluminense at 7:30 pm. Coritiba host Grêmio on Monday at 7:30 pm.

Latin America Title Races

Libertadores: Palmeiras 66.5%, Estudiantes 31.1%

Palmeiras beat Fluminense 5–3 on penalties on Wednesday 21 October, after a 1–0 residence loss left the tie stage at 2–2. Estudiantes then beat Flamengo 3–2 on penalties on the Maracanã on Thursday, after two goalless legs.

Polymarket’s winner market has US$37,721 traded and lists Palmeiras at 66.5%. On our 14 October snapshot Palmeiras have been 27%, so the value has moved about 40 factors since then.

Polymarket’s 2027 Libertadores market has Palmeiras at 27.5% and Flamengo at 20.5%. It has solely US$20,801 traded.

Sudamericana: Boca Juniors 53%

Atlético Mineiro misplaced 2–0 at Montevideo Metropolis Torque on Wednesday however went via 3–2 on combination. They meet Boca Juniors on Saturday 21 November in Barranquilla, Colombia.

Brazil: Flamengo lead by one level

Flamengo lead the Série A with 67 factors after 31 rounds, and Palmeiras have 66 from 19 wins, 9 attracts and three defeats. Athletico-PR are third on 53, so this can be a two-horse race.

Polymarket costs Flamengo at 62% and Palmeiras at 33%, with US$51,281 traded. On 14 October the pair have been at 63% and 38%.

On the backside, Polymarket costs Remo at 97.9% and Chapecoense at 97.5% to go down. Grêmio are at 55.5% and Internacional at 52%, on US$19,170 traded.

Mexico: América pull clear

América beat Atlas 5–2 on Wednesday and lead the desk on 27 factors, 4 forward of Chivas and Cruz Azul. With 4 rounds left earlier than the playoffs, the highest eight is taking form.

Polymarket’s Apertura market, with US$115,178 traded, costs América at 33%, Guadalajara at 16%, Toluca at 13.6% and Cruz Azul at 13.5%. América have been 17.5% on 14 October.

Kalshi’s Clausura market, which covers the following match, has 553,069 contracts traded. América commerce at about 22%, between a 21-cent bid and a 23-cent ask, with Cruz Azul and Guadalajara close to 14% and 11%.

For the 2026–27 prime scorer, Juan Brunetta leads at 15.6%, on US$29,170. Membership América are 29.5% within the largest goal-difference market, forward of Toluca at 25.5%.

Relegation elsewhere within the area

In Colombia’s Primera A, Polymarket costs Boyacá Chicó at 99% and Jaguares at 76% to be relegated, on US$23,345. Cúcuta Deportivo fell from 22.5% to three.9% since 14 October.

In Peru’s Liga 1, UTC Cajamarca are at 87.5%, Deportivo Moquegua at 60% and ADT at 44.5%, on US$22,231. In Bolivia, GV San José are at 78% and Actual Tomayapo at 48.5%.

These are “groups relegated” markets, so a number of golf equipment can every sit above 50%. They’re skinny, and one order can swing a worth.

Africa

Each African market above our threshold this week is in regards to the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations, which Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda host collectively. No African league or club-competition market reached US$10,000.

Polymarket’s winner market has US$17,660 traded. It costs Morocco at 33.5%, Senegal at 18%, Ivory Coast at 10.1%, Egypt at 7%, Ghana at 5.7% and South Africa at 5.5%.

The group-winner markets run to 31 March 2027. Egypt are 66% in Group B, with Angola down from 28% on 14 October to 11%.

South Africa are 68.5% in Group D, Mali 65% in Group Ok (up from 55.5%) and Nigeria 60.5% in Group L. Burkina Faso are 59.5% in Group F and Tunisia 59% in Group H.

Every of those group markets has between US$11,713 and US$21,897 traded. That’s small subsequent to the Liga MX and Libertadores books.

What It Means for US Readers

Mexican and Brazilian golf equipment have massive followings amongst Mexican-American and Brazilian-American followers. The costs give these followers, and anybody new to the game, a fast learn on who merchants count on to win.

Kalshi is regulated within the US by the CFTC, whereas Polymarket’s public information is open to all. We hyperlink to our personal protection and public information solely, and we provide no betting suggestions or hyperlinks to betting websites.

The following huge occasions are the Sudamericana remaining on 21 November and the Libertadores remaining on 28 November. Our each day Latin America Sports activities Day by day covers the outcomes, and final week’s odds preview exhibits how far costs have moved.

Our stay boards are on the Latin America odds hub and the Africa odds hub. They replace via the day, so the costs there could differ from these learn right here.

What Is Not Identified

We would not have confirmed line-ups or damage lists for spherical 14 in Mexico or spherical 32 in Brazil, and climate may change the video games. Fixtures and kick-off occasions are topic to alter.

Costs in skinny markets can transfer on a single commerce, and Série A sides typically rotate gamers round cup ties. Each results can shift the title markets earlier than Sunday night time.

Continuously Requested Questions

Who do prediction markets favour within the Copa Libertadores remaining?

Polymarket costs Palmeiras at 66.5% and Estudiantes de La Plata at 31.1%, with US$37,721 traded. The ultimate is on Saturday 28 November in Montevideo.

Who’s the favorite for the Liga MX title?

Polymarket costs América at 33% to win the Apertura, forward of Guadalajara at 16%. América lead the desk with 27 factors after 12 video games.

Who’s favorite to win the Brazilian Série A?

Flamengo, at 62% on Polymarket, towards 33% for Palmeiras. Flamengo lead by one level, 67 to 66, with seven rounds left.

Who’s favoured to win the Africa Cup of Nations in 2027?

Polymarket costs Morocco at 33.5%, forward of Senegal at 18% and Ivory Coast at 10.1%. The market has US$17,660 traded, so the costs are a tough information.

Are these predictions or bets?

They’re costs set by real-money merchants on Polymarket and Kalshi, not forecasts by The Rio Occasions. We present them subsequent to league tables and outcomes, by no means as an alternative of them.